Compare odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, and PredictIt. Spot arbitrage. Track what matters.
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Politics
KY-04 Primary: Prediction Markets Still Favor Massie Despite Poll Shock — Here's Why
Kentucky's May 19 Republican primary has Thomas Massie trailing in the latest poll — but Kalshi and Polymarket still give him a 62–64% chance of winning. We break down what traders see that the topline numbers miss.
House Oversight Opens Prediction Market Investigation: What Platform Subpoenas Could Mean for Traders
House Oversight Chairman James Comer has confirmed an investigation into suspicious Iran-war trades on prediction markets, with subpoenas targeting platform records. Here's what traders need to know.
Economics
Eurovision 2026 Semi-Final 2 Tonight: Denmark Emerges, Australia's Jury Bid, and What Prediction Markets See Before Saturday
Eurovision 2026 Semi-Final 2 kicks off at 21:00 CEST tonight. Denmark leads the SF2 winner market at 37%, Australia leads the jury market at 35%, and Finland holds at 44.5% to win the Grand Final. Here's what prediction markets say before the board resets.
Eurovision 2026 Grand Final: Finland at 54% as Australia Surges — What $167M in Prediction Markets Says Tonight
Finland leads at 54.4% on Polymarket and 55¢ on Kalshi heading into Saturday's Eurovision Grand Final. But the jury vs. televote split tells a different story — here's what $167M in volume reveals about tonight.
Crypto
Sports
Eurovision 2026 Semi-Final 1: How Prediction Markets Are Reading Finland, Israel, and the Jury-Televote Split
Semi-Final 1 of Eurovision 2026 is live in Vienna. Prediction markets show Finland at 40.1% overall but only 13.5% on the televote — while Israel leads the public vote at 32%. Here is what the full market stack tells you before the votes are counted.
The 2026 World Cup Prediction Market Is Closing In on $1 Billion — Before Kickoff
Polymarket's 2026 FIFA World Cup event has surpassed $949 million in total volume with the tournament still a month away. France leads at 17.8%, Spain is close behind. What the market structure says about the largest sports prediction market in history.
