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    8s

    Virginia redistricting referendum margin of victory?

    Resolves Apr 21, 2027
    Total Volume

    $10.4M

    +$110.0K (24h)

    Active Markets

    8

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    7¢

    Yes, 3-6%

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -2¢

    Yes, 3-6%

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    8 markets · Showing 8
    #24H
    1
    Yes, 3-6%
    		7¢8¢
    $1.6M+$18.8K 24h
    		-2¢—
    2
    Yes, 0-3%
    		1¢1¢
    $2.6M+$18.0K 24h
    		——
    3
    No, 0-3%
    		1¢1¢
    $2.2M+$17.0K 24h
    		——
    4
    No, 3%+
    		1¢1¢
    $1.7M+$17.6K 24h
    		——
    5
    Yes, 6-9%
    		1¢1¢
    $917.3K+$10.2K 24h
    		——
    6
    Yes, 12-15%
    		0¢1¢
    $467.0K+$12.0K 24h
    		——
    7
    Yes, 15%+
    		0¢0¢
    $504.3K+$6.4K 24h
    		——
    8
    Yes, 9-12%
    		0¢0¢
    $345.6K+$10.0K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1Yes, 3-6%
    7¢-2¢
    2Yes, 0-3%
    1¢—
    3No, 0-3%
    1¢—
    4No, 3%+
    1¢—
    5Yes, 6-9%
    1¢—
    6Yes, 12-15%
    0¢—
    7Yes, 15%+
    0¢—
    8Yes, 9-12%
    0¢—

    Price History

    Yes, 3-6%
    May 9 17:38May 10 17:59May 11 20:48May 12 21:37May 14 02:59May 15 19:420.8%5.8%10.8%20.0%

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Virginians narrowly approve mid-decade redistricting effort - Cardinal News

    1 minElizabeth Beyer
    Politics

    Virginia redistricting referendum passes by razor-thin margin as legal challenges loom | News/Talk 960-AM & FM-107.3 WFIR

    1 minIan Price
    Politics

    Virginia voters approve redistricting referendum, reshaping congressional map ahead of 2026

    1 minvascope
    Politics

    Virginia voters approve redistricting plan that could boost Democrats’ seats in Congress | The Associated Press

    1 minThe Associated Press
    Politics

    Virginia voters back redistricting amendment after months of legal and political battles

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Virginia voters approve redistricting referendum | 13newsnow.com

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Virginia voters pass referendum allowing mid-cycle congressional redistricting

    1 minPaige Gilmar

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Apr 21, 2027

    ~341 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    8
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $10.4M

    Whale Activity

    Loading...

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 14.6% in 24h

      Yes, 3-6% · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 6.7% in 24h

      Yes, 0-3% · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 11.1% in 24h

      No, 0-3% · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 42.9% in 24h

      No, 3%+ · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 16.7% in 24h

      Yes, 6-9% · Kalshi