Beta
    LIVE
    8s

    Fed Decision in July?

    Resolves Jul 29, 2026
    Total Volume

    $5.4M

    +$73.3K (24h)

    Active Markets

    5

    Across 1 platforms

    Frontrunner

    93¢

    No change

    Biggest Mover 24h

    +1¢

    25 bps increase

    Arb Opportunities

    0

    None detected

    All Markets

    5 markets · Showing 5
    #24H
    1
    No change
    		93¢93¢
    $638.7K+$16.5K 24h
    		——
    2
    25 bps increase
    		4¢4¢
    $3.4M+$20.3K 24h
    		+1¢—
    3
    25 bps decrease
    		4¢4¢
    $404.7K+$8.3K 24h
    		-1¢—
    4
    50+ bps decrease
    		1¢1¢
    $520.7K+$12.6K 24h
    		——
    5
    50+ bps increase
    		0¢1¢
    $481.0K+$15.6K 24h
    		——

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1No change
    93%
    93¢—
    225 bps increase
    4¢+1¢
    325 bps decrease
    4¢-1¢
    450+ bps decrease
    1¢—
    550+ bps increase
    0¢—

    Price History

    No change
    May 9 20:00May 10 23:00May 12 02:00May 13 05:00May 14 08:00May 15 19:5384.5%88.5%92.5%97.5%

    Related reading

    External
    Economics

    What To Expect From The Fed's Interest Rate Decision This Week

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    FedWatch - CME Group

    1 minUnknown
    Economics

    https://federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/monetary20250730a1.pdf

    1 minFederal Reserve
    Economics

    Fed third meeting of 2026: Final Powell decision, rates likely unchanged

    1 minUnknown

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Jul 29, 2026

    ~75 days remaining
    Category
    Economics
    Markets
    5
    Platforms
    1
    Total Volume
    $5.4M

    Whale Activity

    Whale

    bought $23K Yes on No change

    polymarket · 17 days ago

    Whale

    sold $14K Yes on No change

    polymarket · 17 days ago

    Whale

    bought $11K Yes on No change

    polymarket · 16 days ago

    Whale

    sold $10K Yes on No change

    polymarket · 3 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 18.6% in 24h

      25 bps decrease · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 31.0% in 24h

      25 bps increase · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 8.3% in 24h

      50+ bps decrease · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 6:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 20.0% in 24h

      50+ bps increase · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 6:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 14.0% in 24h

      25 bps decrease · Polymarket