2028 US presidential election winner?

    Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028
    Total Volume

    $619.2M

    +$1.7M (24h)

    Active Markets

    38

    Across 3 platforms

    Frontrunner

    19¢

    JD Vance

    Biggest Mover 24h

    -1¢

    Gavin Newsom

    Arb Opportunities

    2

    Best gross: 4.3¢ / $1 pair

    All Markets

    38 markets · Showing 8
    #24H
    119¢19¢19¢25¢
    $14.7M+$75.3K 24h
    🔥
    217¢14¢19¢17¢
    $13.5M+$41.6K 24h
    🔥
    316¢17¢16¢20¢
    $19.2M+$19.3K 24h
    -1¢
    4
    $13.8M+$7.4K 24h
    5
    $9.1M+$28.1K 24h
    6
    $6.6M+$16.8K 24h
    7
    $2.2M+$13.7K 24h
    8
    $12.1M+$89.7K 24h

    Implied Probability

    Consensus across platforms
    1JD Vance
    19%
    19¢
    2Marco Rubio
    17%
    17¢
    3Gavin Newsom
    16%
    16¢-1¢
    4A. Ocasio-Cortez
    5Kamala Harris
    6Jon Ossoff
    7Josh Shapiro
    8Pete Buttigieg
    9Andy Beshear
    10JB Pritzker
    11Gretchen Whitmer
    12Tulsi Gabbard

    Event Info

    Resolution Date

    ~Nov 7, 2028

    ~907 days remaining
    Category
    Politics
    Markets
    38
    Platforms
    3
    Total Volume
    $619.2M
    Arb Opportunities
    2

    Whale Activity

    Mega

    bought $1.7M No on Eric Trump

    polymarket · 11 days ago

    Mega

    bought $396K No on JD Vance

    polymarket · 11 days ago

    Mega

    bought $168K No on Tulsi Gabbard

    polymarket · 27 days ago

    Mega

    sold $129K No on Eric Trump

    polymarket · 2 days ago

    View all whale activity →

    Timeline

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 9.1% in 24h

      Thomas Massie · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 6.5% in 24h

      Tucker Carlson · Polymarket

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 13.0% in 24h

      J.B. Pritzker · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved down by 5.9% in 24h

      Gavin Newsom · Kalshi

    • Price MoveMay 15, 7:00 PM

      Price move: Yes price moved up by 7.7% in 24h

      Donald J. Trump Jr. · Kalshi