Beta
    LIVE

    Tim Walz

    Volume

    $41.6M

    $174.5K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028

    ~907 days left

    Category

    Politics

    0¢CHANCE OF YES0%100%
    Yes
    0¢
    Kalshi
    No
    99¢
    Polymarket

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best No
    Yes
    1¢
    No
    99¢
    Vol
    $41.2M
    $40.4K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best Yes
    Yes
    0¢
    No
    100¢
    Vol
    $369.6K
    $134.1K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    May 9 14:00May 10 18:00May 11 23:00May 13 04:00May 14 09:00May 15 19:520¢2¢4¢6¢

    About This Market

    The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    View rule How to verify
    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    View rule How to verify

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 1¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KKalshiat 0¢: exit costs ~0.01¢/contract
    Full calculator

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    Market Details

    ResolutionResolves Nov 7, 2028
    Time Left907 days
    Status● Active
    CategoryPolitics

    Related reading

    External
    Politics

    Who will win the 2028 presidential election? Prediction markets already have strong opinions

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    The parties, 2028 presidential candidates, the Signal leak, and Trump approval: March 30-April 1, 2025 Economist/YouGov Poll

    1 minTaylor Orth Director of Survey Data Journalism
    Politics

    Betting Odds For 2028 Presidential Election Revealed | On Air with Ryan Seacrest

    1 minJason Hall
    Politics

    Who do Democrats and Republicans want as their 2028 presidential nominees?

    1 minTaylor Orth Director of Survey Data Journalism
    Politics

    2028 United States presidential election - Wikipedia

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Tim Walz Might Run for President in 2028 if You Ask Him Nicely

    1 minDavid Remnick
    Politics

    Harris And Walz Lead Democrats Toward 2028 Presidential Bid

    1 minUnknown
    Politics

    Tim Walz says he may run for president in 2028 despite failure of 2024 Harris campaign | The Independent

    1 minUnknown

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