Portugal

    Volume

    $21.1M

    $301.5K 24h

    Platforms

    2

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Jul 20, 2026

    ~66 days left

    Category

    Sports

    CHANCE OF YES8%92%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    92¢
    Kalshi

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    2 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    No
    92¢
    Vol
    $19.3M
    $269.7K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Best No
    Yes
    No
    92¢
    Vol
    $1.8M
    $31.8K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi

    Price History

    May 9 14:00May 10 18:00May 11 23:00May 13 04:00May 14 09:00May 15 19:5211¢14¢

    About This Market

    This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    How This Resolves

    PPolymarket

    Source: UMA oracle / Polymarket resolution committee

    Rule: Resolves YES if the specified team wins. Admin review possible if unusual circumstances occur.

    KKalshi

    Source: Official league/governing body results

    Rule: Resolves YES if the specified team wins as confirmed by official results within 48 hours of event.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    PPolymarketat 8¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    KKalshiat 8¢: exit costs ~0.53¢/contract
    Full calculator

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