Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Volume

    $17.4M

    $37.5K 24h

    Platforms

    3

    Cross-platform pricing

    Resolution

    Resolves Nov 7, 2028

    ~907 days left

    Category

    Politics

    CHANCE OF YES9%91%
    Yes
    Polymarket
    No
    87¢
    PredictIt

    Opens on best-price platform

    Compare & Trade

    3 platforms
    PPolymarket
    Best Yes
    Yes
    No
    91¢
    Vol
    $12.8M
    $22.0K 24h
    Trade on Polymarket
    KKalshi
    Yes
    11¢
    No
    90¢
    Vol
    $4.6M
    $15.6K 24h
    Trade on Kalshi
    IPredictIt
    Best No
    Yes
    14¢
    No
    87¢
    Vol
    $0
    Trade on PredictIt

    Price History

    May 9 14:00May 10 18:00May 11 23:00May 13 04:00May 14 09:00May 15 19:5112¢19¢

    About This Market

    If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

    How This Resolves

    KKalshi

    Source: Official government sources (AP, official canvass)

    Rule: Resolves based on AP race call or official certified result, whichever comes first.

    IPredictIt

    Source: Official government sources, AP

    Rule: Resolves based on official results. PredictIt staff make final resolution determination.

    PPolymarket

    Source: AP or official government declaration

    Rule: Resolves based on AP call or official declaration. Admin review committee handles edge cases.

    Different resolution sources can explain price gaps between platforms. Check both rules before interpreting a spread as an opportunity.

    Market Quality

    Kalshi:Broad consensus
    Poly:Concentrated
    Vol: $2.1M / $8.4M · Largest pos: <4% / ~18%

    Fee Impact at These Prices

    KKalshiat 11¢: exit costs ~0.69¢/contract
    IPredictItat 14¢: exit costs ~1.4¢/contract
    PPolymarketat 9¢: exit costs ~0¢/contract
    Full calculator

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